2026 Gold Outlook Report — Monetary Metals
Free 2026 Research Report

Gold Outlook Report 2026 · 10th Edition

The era of monetary competition has begun.
Here's what the data says happens next.

The free 2026 Gold Outlook Report from Keith Weiner, PhD.

While the market debates where the price goes from here, Keith's Basis/Cobasis framework tracks the real drivers of gold. Not sentiment. Not headlines. The actual supply and demand dynamics in physical gold markets, before they show up in price.

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10th Annual Edition | Thousands of Readers Since 2016 | Used by Wealth Managers and Advisors | Free Download
Keith Weiner, PhD
Keith Weiner, PhD
CEO and Founder, Monetary Metals · PhD, Monetary Economics · Inc. 5000 #677 · Sold DiamondWare to Nortel Networks
As seen in Forbes Barron's CNBC Washington Post

After a year like 2025, everyone has an opinion. Very few have data.

Gold surged over 65% in dollar terms in 2025. Central banks bought at historically elevated levels. Institutional money moved. And a lot of gold holders watched it happen, pleased with the price, but not entirely sure what comes next.

That uncertainty is exactly what this report is built to address.

Most gold analysis tells you where the price might go. Keith's Basis/Cobasis model tells you something different: whether the demand driving that price is real, durable, and grounded in physical markets, or whether it is speculative momentum that has gotten ahead of fundamentals.

That distinction matters more in 2026 than it has in years. Because after a run of this magnitude, the question is not whether gold had a good year. It is whether your gold is working as hard as the market did.

A significant portion of the world's gold supply sits in private vaults right now, producing nothing. Storage fees accumulate. The metal sits idle. And the only way that strategy pays off is if the price keeps rising. That is a bet on a single variable.

Every other serious asset class, including stocks, bonds, and real estate, generates yield while you hold it. Gold did exactly the same for nearly 5,000 years of monetary history. The last 90 years are the exception. Not the rule.

The report covers what the data shows heading into 2026, and why this year is a different conversation than any year before it.

What's inside the 10th edition.

The same analysis Keith presents at institutional conferences. Yours for free.

1
The Macroeconomic Outlook
Currency competition has a clear winner. Monetary competition has a clear winner. How the intensifying rivalry between the dollar and gold is shaping capital flows, and what it means for how you hold your wealth.
2
Debt, Interest Rates, and Monetary Signals
U.S. government debt grew by $2.4 trillion in the past year alone. The fiscal and monetary data that matters for long-term gold holders. Measured in numbers, not narratives.
3
Gold Fundamental Analysis
Keith's proprietary Basis/Cobasis framework applied to 2025's historic move. Was the demand real or speculative? What the data says heading into 2026.
4
Silver Fundamental Analysis
Silver more than doubled in 2025 and is now flirting with backwardation. A deep dive into silver market dynamics, including the substitution effect and whether the structural deficit narrative holds up.
5
2026 Price Predictions
Keith's gold and silver price calls for 2026, grounded in Basis/Cobasis data and macroeconomic analysis. Last year's gold prediction landed within range. This year's call is included.
10
Annual editions published
The longest-running gold outlook from a yield platform
65%
Gold's 2025 gain in dollar terms
The report covers what comes next
#677
Inc. 5000 ranking
Among fastest-growing US companies
182+
Trustpilot reviews
Rated Excellent by gold owners

Trusted by gold owners worldwide.

★★★★★

"I couldn't be happier with my experience at Monetary Metals. My only regret is that I didn't become a client sooner."

Kris W. · Investor Client Since 2019
★★★★★

"Keith Weiner is one of the most knowledgeable people in the gold space. His research is a genuine resource."

Alain R. · Subscriber Since 2023
★★★★★

"Thoughtful writing on monetary theory. Monetary Metals is doing things that nobody else in this space is doing."

Ivan W. · Client Since 2018

Individual experiences vary. These testimonials reflect the personal views of clients and subscribers and are not representative of typical results. Testimonials have not been independently verified. This is not financial advice.

Why Keith built this

"Gold is not rising. Currencies are falling. And in 2025, the drop was precipitous. Gold owners deserve analysis that goes beyond 'gold is going to the moon.' I built the Basis model to provide a rigorous, mathematical framework for understanding where gold is actually headed."

Keith Weiner holds a PhD in monetary economics and founded Monetary Metals after selling his first company, DiamondWare, to Nortel Networks. He has spent over a decade building the only platform where investors can earn a yield on gold, paid in gold.

After a year like 2025, the conversation shifts. Not whether gold was the right call. But whether your gold is working as hard as it should be.

The annual Gold Outlook Report is the same analysis he presents at institutional conferences, at CNBC, and in Forbes. It is how he runs his own firm.

Gold Outlook Report 2026
The 2026 Gold Outlook Report
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